Initialize trading project — Bill & Colette learning tracks

Two-person trading team setup: Bill (quant/algorithmic) and Colette (market observer).
Includes phase-by-phase curriculum, separate sprint tracks, trade journal templates,
roadmap to prop firm challenge, and agent handoff documentation.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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# Trading Curriculum — Overview
## The Model
Bill and Colette operate as a two-person trading team with distinct roles:
| Role | Person | Approach |
|------|--------|----------|
| Quant / Engineer | Bill | ML models, scripts, backtesting, automation, signal validation |
| Market Observer | Colette | News, macro indicators, sector themes, trade idea generation |
**Workflow:** Colette spots opportunities (news catalyst, macro shift, chart pattern) → flags to Bill → Bill validates with data → team decides → Bill executes or automates
This mirrors how small prop desks actually work. Neither role is more important — a great model with no ideas is useless, and good ideas with no discipline lose money.
---
## Bill's Track — Quant / Algorithmic
See: [bill-track.md](bill-track.md)
Phases:
1. Market data infrastructure (APIs, data feeds, TradingView Pine Script)
2. Technical indicator implementation and backtesting
3. ML signal generation (classification, regression, feature engineering)
4. Strategy automation and alerting
5. Prop challenge execution and monitoring
---
## Colette's Track — Market Observer
See: [colette-track.md](colette-track.md)
Phases:
1. Chart literacy and TradingView basics
2. News and macro awareness (what matters, what's noise)
3. Sector rotation and high-level indicators
4. Generating and communicating trade ideas
5. Prop challenge: managing the watchlist and flagging setups
---
## Shared Milestones
| Milestone | Description |
|-----------|-------------|
| First paper trade | Both place one paper trade and review it together |
| First flagged setup | Colette identifies a setup → Bill backtests it |
| First automated alert | Bill's script triggers on a Colette-identified pattern |
| Simulated challenge pass | Both run through a prop challenge simulation |
| Real challenge attempt | When two simulated passes are clean |

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# Bill's Learning Track — Quant / Algorithmic
**Background:** Data scientist, ML experience, cybersecurity/scripting skills
**Role:** Build and validate — data pipelines, backtests, models, automation, alerts
---
## Phase 1 — Market Data Infrastructure
**Goal:** Get clean, reliable data into your toolchain
- [ ] TradingView Pine Script basics — indicators, alerts, screeners
- [ ] Python market data: `yfinance`, `pandas-ta`, `ccxt` (crypto if relevant)
- [ ] Free vs paid data sources — what's actually needed at this stage
- [ ] Build a basic OHLCV data fetcher for a watchlist of tickers
- [ ] Understand data quality issues: survivorship bias, split adjustments, gaps
- [ ] Set up a local data store (SQLite or Parquet) for backtesting
**Deliverable:** Script that pulls daily OHLCV for a watchlist and stores it locally
---
## Phase 2 — Indicator Implementation & Backtesting
**Goal:** Implement and test common signals before trusting them
- [ ] Implement SMA, EMA, RSI, MACD, ATR from scratch (don't just use a library — understand them)
- [ ] Build a simple backtesting loop (vectorized, not event-driven to start)
- [ ] Understand backtest traps: look-ahead bias, overfitting, survivorship bias
- [ ] Walk-forward validation basics
- [ ] Metrics: win rate, expectancy, Sharpe ratio, max drawdown, Calmar ratio
- [ ] Pine Script: build a simple strategy and view equity curve in TradingView
**Deliverable:** One complete backtest with proper train/test split and metrics reported
---
## Phase 3 — ML Signal Generation
**Goal:** Apply ML where it actually adds value (not everywhere)
- [ ] Feature engineering for price data (returns, rolling stats, lagged features)
- [ ] Classification: predict direction (up/down/flat next N bars)
- [ ] Avoid the common traps: data leakage, overfitting short samples
- [ ] Evaluate with financial metrics, not just accuracy
- [ ] Regime detection: is the market trending, ranging, or volatile?
- [ ] Understand when ML helps vs when simple rules beat it
**Deliverable:** A classifier that outputs trade signals with a documented edge (positive expectancy on out-of-sample data)
---
## Phase 4 — Automation & Alerting
**Goal:** React to markets without staring at screens
- [ ] TradingView alerts → webhook → Python handler
- [ ] Build a market watch script (runs on schedule, flags setups from Colette's criteria)
- [ ] Notification system (email, SMS, or Telegram bot)
- [ ] Paper trading automation: auto-log triggered trades to journal
- [ ] Understand execution risk: slippage, partial fills, latency (not HFT, but real)
**Deliverable:** Script that monitors a watchlist and sends an alert when Colette's setup criteria are met
---
## Phase 5 — Prop Challenge Execution
**Goal:** Apply the system under challenge conditions
- [ ] Simulate challenge rules in paper trading: daily loss limit, max drawdown, profit target
- [ ] Risk sizing formula locked in (never manual)
- [ ] Dashboard: daily P&L, drawdown remaining, progress toward profit target
- [ ] Post-trade review script: auto-generate stats from journal
- [ ] Two clean simulated challenge passes before paying
**Deliverable:** Automated prop challenge tracker with real-time status
---
## Tools & Stack
| Purpose | Tool |
|---------|------|
| Charting | TradingView |
| Data | yfinance, pandas, pandas-ta |
| Backtesting | Custom vectorized or `backtesting.py` |
| ML | scikit-learn, lightgbm |
| Automation | Python scripts + cron or systemd |
| Alerts | TradingView webhooks + custom handler |
| Storage | SQLite or Parquet files |

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# Colette's Learning Track — Market Observer
**Background:** News-aware, macro-focused, strong intuition for market narratives
**Role:** Observe and flag — identify macro themes, news catalysts, sector strength, and trade ideas
The goal is to build on the market awareness you already have and give it a framework.
You're not learning to trade from scratch — you're learning to translate what you see into
structured ideas that can be tested and acted on.
---
## Phase 1 — Chart Literacy (TradingView Basics)
**Goal:** Read a chart and understand what it's showing — no indicators yet
- [ ] What a candlestick shows (open, high, low, close)
- [ ] What timeframes mean (daily vs weekly vs monthly)
- [ ] How to spot a trend (is price making higher highs, or lower lows?)
- [ ] What volume tells you (is this move significant?)
- [ ] How to use TradingView: add a ticker, change timeframe, draw a line
- [ ] What a 52-week high/low means and why people watch it
**Exercise:** Pull up 3 tickers. For each: is it in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways? Is volume rising or falling?
**Milestone:** Can look at a chart and describe what the price is doing
---
## Phase 2 — News & Macro Awareness
**Goal:** Connect the news you're already reading to what it means for price
- [ ] What the Fed does and why interest rates matter to stocks
- [ ] What earnings season is and how it affects price
- [ ] What sector rotation means (money moving from tech → energy, etc.)
- [ ] Understanding the difference between a news catalyst and a hype cycle
- [ ] How to cross-reference a news story with the actual chart — was the move already priced in?
- [ ] The DXYZ case study: what premium-to-NAV means, and what the historical pattern looks like
**Key habit:** When you see a headline or hear a recommendation, check the chart first:
1. Did the price already move before this news broke?
2. What's the proposed exit — where would you get out if wrong?
3. What does the broader sector look like?
**Exercise:** Read a financial headline and check the chart of the ticker mentioned. Write one sentence: did the chart confirm the story, or had the move already happened?
**Milestone:** Can explain why the DXYZ premium exists and what historical precedents look like
---
## Phase 3 — Sector & Macro Indicators
**Goal:** Know the high-level picture before looking at individual stocks
- [ ] The major S&P 500 sectors (XLK, XLE, XLF, XLV, etc.) and how to track them
- [ ] What the VIX is and what elevated fear looks like on a chart
- [ ] How to read a sector heatmap (TradingView has one built in)
- [ ] What the yield curve is (simplified: are long rates higher than short rates?)
- [ ] Dollar strength (DXY) and its relationship to commodities and international stocks
- [ ] How to identify the strongest sector and focus there
**Exercise:** Every Sunday, look at the sector ETFs for the past week. Which sector was strongest? Which was weakest? Write it down. Do this for 4 weeks in a row.
**Milestone:** Can give a 2-minute sector summary each week
---
## Phase 4 — Generating Trade Ideas
**Goal:** Turn observations into structured, communicable ideas for Bill to evaluate
A strong trade idea connects what you're seeing in the news or macro picture to what's happening on the chart.
**Example:**
- Weak: "I read that SpaceX is doing something big."
- Strong: "XLK has been the strongest sector 3 weeks running, NVDA just broke to a new 52-week high on heavy volume, and earnings are in 3 weeks — might be worth a look."
**Format for flagging an idea:**
```
Ticker:
Why I noticed it: (news, chart, sector strength)
What the chart looks like: (uptrend / breakout / pullback to support)
Timeframe: (daily / weekly)
Questions for Bill: (anything to backtest or dig into)
```
- [ ] Submit 2 trade ideas per week using the format above
- [ ] Review together: did the idea have merit? What happened?
- [ ] Build a personal watchlist of 1015 tickers you understand well
**Milestone:** 8 trade ideas submitted, at least 3 that Bill validated as having a testable edge
---
## Phase 5 — Prop Challenge Support
**Goal:** Be the eyes during the trading day while Bill's system runs
- [ ] Monitor the watchlist for news that could affect open trades
- [ ] Flag upcoming macro events (Fed meeting, CPI report, earnings)
- [ ] Keep a simple daily log: what happened in the market today (23 sentences)
- [ ] Review open positions: is the original thesis still intact?
**Milestone:** Consistent daily market log for 30 days
---
## Recommended Resources
| Resource | What It's Good For |
|----------|-------------------|
| TradingView (free) | Charts, sector heatmap, economic calendar |
| Finviz.com | Sector/market overview at a glance |
| FRED (St. Louis Fed) | Real macro data — interest rates, inflation, jobs |
| Investopedia | Clear definitions for any term |
**A useful filter for any recommendation you encounter:** Does the person showing you this also show you the data behind it? A good idea holds up to a chart check.